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Gold price declines on upbeat market mood

April 30, 2024

LONDON (April 30) The Gold price (XAU/USD) trades lower by one percent on Tuesday, in the $2,310s at the time of writing, as a positive market mood dents safe-haven demand for the precious metal. 

Markets in Asia-Pacific closed on the whole in positive territory, with the Nikkie posting a 1.24% gain, Australia’s ASX200 up 0.35% and the Hang Seng rising 0.1% at the close. 

Although stock markets on mainland China edged lower to close in negative territory, this may have been on the back of traders booking profits ahead of the May 1 holiday after a run of up days. Indeed data out of China was on the whole positive, showing that the Caixin Chinese Manufacturing PMI hit a 14-month high in April, whilst in Europe, French and Spanish GDP growth beat estimates in the first quarter. 

Gold price rally driven by Central Banks and OTC buying – World Gold Council

The Gold price rally in Q1 was driven by a combination of strong central bank and OTC buying, according to a recent report by the World Gold Council (WGC). 

Total demand during the period was estimated at 1,238.3 tonnes compared to 1,269.7t in the previous quarter. 

Over-the-Counter, or OTC buying – which is not conducted via exchanges and so can only be estimated – rose by 136.4t compared to 126.9t in Q4. 

Heavy buying by central banks was a contributing factor in the rally in Gold price, with 289.7t of Gold bought by this market compared to 219.6t in the previous quarter. 

“Q1 saw no let-up in the pace of central bank gold buying: 290t (net) was added to official holdings,” said the report. 

Further details from the WGC report are as follows: 

  • Gold mine production increased 4.0% YoY to 893t – a record first quarter for the WGC data series.
  • Gold recycling climbed 12% YoY to 351t, the highest quarter since Q3 of 2020.
  • Eastern investors exhibited different behavior to Western investors, whilst Western gold buying experienced healthy levels of profit-taking. “This contrasted with strong buying into the price surge in Eastern markets,” said the WGC report. 
  • Global Gold ETF holdings fell by 114t, with Europe and North America experiencing quarterly outflows. 
  • Demand from the jewelry sector remained healthy, given the price rally. Global jewelry consumption fell just 2.0%.
  • Gold demand from the technology sector rose 10.0% YoY as the AI boom boosted buying from the tech sector.

FXStreet

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